Predictions on 11-8-15 New Zealand Earthquake Spirit what prediction is coming next? Science writer and former NZ Skeptics chair Vicki Hyde said Ring's background was quite common for someone who claimed to be able to predict future events based on trends or patterns they believe others have missed. Gray did not respond to requests for comment. Ken Ring - Long Range Forecaster. Ring publishes almanacs each year for New Zealand, Australia and Ireland in which he provides weather predictions for the entire year. So is there any validity at all to his moon-based methods, or is it just lunacy? Ken Ring offers services for farmers, councils or corporates, weather for a family reunion or a single forecast week to week. The question asked by US scientists back then was why hadn’t they learned their lesson about pseudoscientific earthquake predictions. 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Mr Ring, a fishing commentator, has become a source of heated debate in New Zealand in recent weeks due to his earthquake predictions, which are … The problem came when their predictions provoked fear, Hyde said. NZ Herald Home. True love :) little miss Wednesday loves to be carried by her BFF, A photo posted by michael janitch (@dutchsinse) on Aug 8, 2015 at 3:09pm PDT. May will see the last of winter frosts and some fine weather but cool" - Ken Ring reveals his weather predictions for 2019. So far for 2020 there have been 2687 aftershocks located. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict the extreme weather event which struck Hobsonville, Auckland on Dec 6th, 2012. He then predicted another big quake would strike on March 20. In 2018 there were 4305 aftershocks, and in 2019 there were 3400 aftershocks, within the aftershock forecast area shown in the map below. "You've got to be open-minded but you've got to be careful it's not so open your brain falls out," she said. Gray caused another stir by predicting a shake would hit on or about December 13. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict March 2012 weather bomb that hit much of the lower North Island. He says Mr Ring is the “very embodiment of… cargo cult science – someone who does some of the things scientists do, but fails in the most defining characteristic by not honestly testing his theories against data”. Many people have emailed 3 News and written comments mentioning Galileo, and how his ultimately true idea the Earth went around the Sun, and not the other way around, was rejected by the establishment at the time. Ring has been a well-known fixture in New Zealand for some time now, and also flew to fame off the back of disaster. The colours on this map indicate the likely severity of shaking in different areas – in technical terms, the ground motion which has a 10% chance of occurring within 50 years. He is a painter decorator, who is an owner and director of two businesses - Quality Painters Company and Prosperity Acquisitions, according to Companies Office records. So-called Moon Man Ken Ring is backing away from his prediction that Christchurch will be whacked by a huge earthquake today. The strongest quake to hit that day measured 6 – a decent shake under normal circumstances, but weak compared to aftershocks recorded on Monday and Wednesday. Pictures of blue sky and what Gray and his followers refer to as chemtrails are peppered throughout his Facebook feed. At the time, Gray told media his intention wasn't to scaremonger. CREDIT: FAIRFAX NZ. Well, only if his other predictions are also on the money – otherwise he just got lucky. He says he is able to predict the weather based on the trends and cycles of moon orbits. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity. Provided the input are correct, the output is damning – there is no correlation. "Moon man" Ken Ring has been claiming he can predict earthquakes for years but he recently took a step out of the limelight and isn't doing any media interviews. KEN RING'S EARTHQUAKE WARNING FOR 20 MARCH 2011 IN NZ. In mid December, Ken Ring tweeted that Queensland, Australia, would have a “mostly dry” January. Predictions of potentials and trends is possible from analysing factors that produced weather in past years. The Missouri man now has 185,000 subscribers to his YouTube channel, as well as multiple Facebook pages and a website dedicated to his predictions. This message was followed by the prediction about the earthquake: In 3 to 4.. the earthquake is coming.. soon.. its big. Read Vine's Prediction Here: Psychic Prediction about Earthquakes and Extreme Weather. Honeychurch said the strength of any ability to predict future events was repeatability. These predictions would not be released to the public, to avoid scaremongering. Many of his supporters would argue Mr Ring, who prefers to call his predictions “opinions”, is only warning of elevated risks – but do they stack up against the evidence? On October 21, Frankie MacDonald of Nova Scotia, Canada, uploaded a video to YouTube called 'Massive Earthquake to Hit New Zealand Anytime Soon'. According to GNS Science’s online earthquake record, that hour was one of five that day there were no quakes at all. 7:02 The 25 will be lost to this. In fact, it was Galileo that developed much of what we now call the ‘scientific method’. Ken "Moon man" Ring is well known in New Zealand, with his wide-brimmed hat and moon-related earthquake predictions. Does the fact Canterbury shook again five and a half months later prove his methods are correct? Dr Mark Quigley, senior lecturer in active tectonics and geomorphology at Canterbury University, says Mr Ring’s March 20 warning is “opportunistic and meaningless self-promotion during a time of national crisis”. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict either the July or August 2011 extreme polar blasts that hit NZ. Ken Ring – genius ahead of his time or a complete fraud? Predictions 7-7-17 Earthquake.. New Zealand.. between the two land masses… destructive. Long-range weather expert Ken Ring predicted Fijis devastating tropical cyclones in his New Zealand Weather Almanac 2016, which was published in July 2015. While Gray has become a popular character among those who favour alternative theories, he doesn't have any qualifications in the field of seismology, or related scientific fields. 3 News. “Frankly, what Mr Ring is doing is no better than people crying fire without cause in a packed stadium or picture theatre.” Hyde said Ring made general predictions and waited until an event happened then drew a target around it. In the year after the M7.8 Kaikōura earthquake there were over 20,000 aftershocks. The Beautiful Teachings of Sufism and the Sufi Saints. Britain's Craig Hamilton-Parker says Aotearoa can expect a "serious earthquake" in 2018, which he believes will be part of "a general increase in seismic activity worldwide" next year. To put things into perspective: The Kaikoura quake released 2600 times as much energy as every nuclear weapon ever detonated. On his personal Facebook pages he had posted articles about conspiracies ranging from topics such as chemtrails (spraying of chemicals from commercial airliners), fluoride, 1080 and glyphosate, through to "wacky ideas" such as the moon landings being faked and Michelle Obama being born a man, Honeychurch said. The earthquake hit early morning on Tuesday 8 December 2020 at 1.52 am local time at a moderately shallow depth of 45.1 km. How far in advance? There had been examples of very small quakes being caused by fracking in the United States but the government had no means of creating a significant quake. Ken "Moon man" Ring is well known in New Zealand, with his wide-brimmed hat and moon-related earthquake predictions. I had a visual of a bird with overgrown feet/legs and a large beak. Ken Ring: Can he actually predict earthquakes? Unlike traditional meteorological services, Ring claims to be able to predict the weather years in advance (rather than the standard three-day window where a weather forecast is considered likely to be accurate). The exact magnitude, epicenter, and depth of the quake might be revised within the next few hours or minutes as seismologists review data and refine their calculations, or as other agencies issue their report. end quote. A large Atlantic anticyclone will bring dry, cool weather in a north-westerly airstream, the forecaster predicts. Dr John Beaven, crustal dynamics geophysicist at GNS Science says: “A simple analysis… of aftershock occurrence and the phase and distance of the moon shows that there is no obvious correlation between these parameters and the occurrence of large aftershocks.” Ring has backed out of the limelight in recent times and did not respond to requests for an interview. Well, after March 20, according to Mr Ring, it won’t be over. The facts on 7-11-17: Reported by Washington Post –“WELLINGTON, New Zealand — A strong earthquake struck Tuesday in the ocean south of New Zealand’s main islands, but there were no reports of serious damage or injuries and there was no threat of a tsunami. Gray went from about 600 followers on his Weather Modification Facebook page before the quake, to more than 6000. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity… Should we evacuate an area every time the moon is on its closest approach, is full or new, is moving rapidly, is at its maximum declination or is crossing the equator?” The techniques Gray used in his life improvement seminars are based on Scientology. Exactly the same format of what the books used to comprise. On November 6, 2016, Nigel Antony Gray posted a "heads up" about a major earthquake on his Facebook page. He went on to say he had "strong evidence" to suggest the Kaikoura earthquake was "deliberately caused" and there was a plan to create another devastating earthquake using "electromagnetic frequencies" off the East Coast and Cook Strait. 9.7K likes. “Within 500kms” reaches as far up the North Island as Hamilton. "If you make enough predictions, eventually you're going to get lucky," he said. A scroll through his Spiritual Awareness social media page is almost like a session of staring up at the clouds. FAIRFAX NZ … He now has about 30,000 followers on the renamed Spiritual Awareness New Zealand. “Consider this: Ken Ring’s probability of getting a prediction correct based on perigee/apogee new moon/full moon for 2010 was 63 percent. Long-range weather forecaster Ken Ring has shared his distinctive predictions for the coming summer months across the country. He says his career as a painter makes him qualified to comment on weather, earthquakes and geo-engineering (we'll get to this soon). He’s become a household name in New Zealand. TOP DEBATE: Have your say… He’s a regular contributor to the comments section at WeatherWatch.co.nz and Ken Ring of www.predictweather.com often causes controversy when he talks of his predictions.. WeatherWatch.co.nz wanted to find out more about the man behind the moon….so presented him with 10 questions for him to answer for our readers. Instead he posted on Facebook as to why he would not be interviewed by mainstream media. Gary's posted pictures of himself online, and on his consultancy website, with a bookcase full of scientology materials, worth thousands of dollars. GeoNet seismologist John Ristau said large earthquakes regularly struck in the South Pacific. He claims the New Zealand Government is not only controlling our weather (using chemtrails and chembombs) but also creating earthquakes using a microwave transmission installation called HAARP (High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program). He’s further pinpointed April 18 and the year 2020 as future earthquake dates. When the November 14 quake struck Kaikoura, Gray shot to notoriety. It said: "On 14th November and a couple of days either side of that date, watch for a major earthquake, and quite possible in South pacific area.". Ring lives in the West Auckland suburb of Titirangi and makes his money forecasting the weather. It seems proven ken ring earthquake predictions 2019 april 1 2017 gmc nonetheless its new deluxe crossovers and the most popular sierra 1500 pickup drive the restrictions of its utilitarian image 2019 gmc sierra 2500 hd rumor and release date 2019 GMC Sierra Denali Off-Road Review: Is It Luxurious. CREDIT: FACEBOOK. The very next one he made was that Canterbury would suffer another quake on October 1. READ MORE: * Earthquake: there's no evidence the moon causes quakes * Why quakes weren't caused by seismic blasting or 'unzipping' faultline. Mr Winter weakens Mr Ring’s theory further with a graph showing the total strength of quakes recorded each day between September 4 and February 22, matched with the moon’s monthly phases. Consider this: Ken Ring’s probability of getting a prediction correct based on perigee/apogee new moon/full moon for 2010 was 63 percent. Gray during one of his seminars. Gray first stumbled into the world of earthquake predictions via his interest in geo-engineering and weather modification. Meanwhile when ken ring nz earthquakes prediction 2019 It looks and sounds … Psychic Predictions for 2020, World Psychic Predictions By Leading Australian Psychic Medium Vine. “There’s no added risk of a quake on March 20 or any other day, and I think people do not realise the disharmony and the discomfort that is being given to a lot of people in the Christchurch regions by [predictions],” he said yesterday. Even the world's top seismologists didn't entirely understand the physics of earthquakes - something that was necessary to predict quakes. Premium Auckland Wellington Christchurch. According to NZPA, a group of geologists, alongside earthquake engineers, skeptics, Dr Smith and host of TV3’s The Nation,Sean Plunket, will be having lunch on the Port Hills(pictured right) to quell “unfounded fears”. The world's top seismologists are yet to figure out how to predict earthquakes but a couple of Kiwi amateurs reckon they've cracked the code. He also uses his Spiritual Awareness Facebook page to plug a fuel saving product he sells in New Zealand, called Clean Turbo. Headlines that preceded the predicted December 1990 earthquake As one commenter on … On Mr Ring’s site, apart from the headline, his February prediction only mentions a quake is “sure to be somewhere in the ‘Ring of Fire’, where 80 percent of all major earthquakes seem to occur”, and if it is in New Zealand, could be “within 500km of the Alpine Fault”. Since his claim he predicted the September and February Canterbury quakes ahead of time, and his warning of a quake “for the history books” on March 20, it’s been a question on the nation’s lips. “He paints more than half of the time between the start of January and the end of March as earthquake risk,” says Mr Winter (see Mr Winter’s graph on the right – red equals earthquake). However, experts say Gray's November 14 prediction wasn't really a prediction. ACC Minister Nick Smith has a PhD in geotechnical engineering and a background in landslides and earthquake engineering. “We are too impressed by occasional ‘hits’ and tend to forget the many ‘misses’ which outweigh them.” NZ Skeptic's Vicki Hyde. Mr Ring’s other Twitter predictions don’t get much better. He acknowledges some research has shown small correlations between tides and “smaller, shallower continental earthquakes and ‘solid earth tides’,” but that, “typical earthquake-induced stress changes are about 100 to 1000 times greater than those induced by the tides”. nzherald.co.nz. ", NZ Skeptics chairman Mark Honeychurch. More ominously, the report is that Russian scientists have confirmed the independent analysis of New Zealand mathematician and long-term weather trends forecaster Ken Ring, who predicted the deadly earthquake in Christchurch (N. Zealand), and this week issued a new warning that the new earthquake should strike around 20 March. His New Zealand almanac covers 64 towns. "This is just a possibility, but be alert, that is all I am saying.". It was not unusual to see people like Ring or Gray come out of the woodwork when an event like the Christchurch or Kaikoura earthquake happened. "As a Painting Trade Contractor I have spent several years checking the weather reports, almost daily, on a need-to-know basis," Gray wrote in an online post. Mr Winter points out that the earthquake Mr Ring predicted was at least five times stronger (7+ in magnitude, as opposed to 6.3), and that taking into account Mr Ring’s own prediction covered 10 days (February 15-25), giving his other predictions the same leeway ends with more days Christchurch residents need to be earthquake-ready than not. But not all – there was no mention of the September 4 quake until September 8, when he said there would be another “coming in six months”. 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